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Overview

Event

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho

Date

2025-09-06

Location

Paris, Ile-de-France, France

The UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho event on 2025-09-06, set in Paris, Ile-de-France, France, presents an intriguing lineup mainly constituted by well-rounded fighters. With none of the fighters being grapplers, only four strikers, and the rest 24 excelling in versatile styles, expect a balanced contest that will test each fighter's adaptability. The main event showcases Imavov, a well-rounded fighter, against Borralho, a bonus leader, promising an exciting headliner. Borralho's bonus-winning performances suggest a fighter who can turn the tide of a fight in decisive moments. His clash with Imavov, known for his adaptability, might come down to who can control the fight's pace and dictate its terms. Benoit Saint Denis, another bonus leader, is a fighter to watch. His bonus-winning performances indicate a propensity for high-intensity fights. His match against a well-rounded opponent could test his ability to maintain his explosive style while dealing with a range of attacks. Another notable pair is Brad Tavares and Marcin Tybura, both bonus leaders. Their fight could be a highlight of the event, with both having a history of delivering memorable bouts. Their well-rounded styles and bonus-winning histories suggest a potential for a dynamic, back-and-forth fight. Despite the lack of current or former champions, the presence of bonus leaders like Bukauskas and Craig signifies fighters who have the potential to deliver standout performances. Given the absence of specific specialities like accurate strikers, defensive wizards, volume strikers, or takedown artists, the event will likely showcase varied styles of fighting, demanding each fighter to be versatile and flexible in their approach. This event presents an opportunity for these well-rounded fighters to demonstrate their comprehensive skills in the absence of specialists or titleholders. The result of each fight may hinge on who can better adapt and overcome their opponent's tactics.

Event Statistics

Fighting Styles

  • 6 strikers
  • 5 grapplers
  • 17 well-rounded fighters

Notable Records

  • Fighters on win streaks: Caio Borralho (3 wins), Nassourdine Imavov (8 wins), Benoit Saint Denis (4 wins), Mauricio Ruffy (3 wins), Fares Ziam (4 wins), Robert Ruchala (3 wins)
  • Fighters on loss streaks: None
  • Current champions: None
  • Former champions: None
  • Bonus leaders: Caio Borralho (3 bonuses), Benoit Saint Denis (4 bonuses), Brad Tavares (4 bonuses), Marcin Tybura (7 bonuses), Modestas Bukauskas (3 bonuses), Paul Craig (11 bonuses)

Fight History

  • Rivalries: No previous matchups

Fighter Specialties

  • Accurate Strikers (50%+ accuracy): Caio Borralho (60% accuracy), Nassourdine Imavov (55% accuracy), Andreas Gustafsson (76% accuracy), Rinat Fakhretdinov (52% accuracy), Benoit Saint Denis (55% accuracy), Mauricio Ruffy (58% accuracy), Fares Ziam (51% accuracy), Kaue Fernandes (54% accuracy), William Gomis (51% accuracy)
  • Defensive Wizards (60%+ defense): Caio Borralho (62% defense), Mauricio Ruffy (61% defense), Bolaji Oki (62% defense), Fares Ziam (64% defense), Kaue Fernandes (61% defense), Oumar Sy (70% defense)
  • Volume Strikers (5+ SLpM): Andreas Gustafsson (5.8 SLpM), Benoit Saint Denis (5.4 SLpM), Bolaji Oki (7.0 SLpM), Mason Jones (5.6 SLpM), Trey Waters (6.4 SLpM)
  • Takedown Artists (3+ TD avg): Andreas Gustafsson (6.4 TD avg), Rinat Fakhretdinov (4.0 TD avg), Benoit Saint Denis (4.2 TD avg), Mason Jones (4.2 TD avg)

Fight Card

Main Card

Caio Borralho vs. Nassourdine Imavov Main Event • 185 lbs. lbs
Andreas Gustafsson vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov Co-Main • 170 lbs. lbs
Benoit Saint Denis vs. Mauricio Ruffy 155 lbs. lbs
Bolaji Oki vs. Mason Jones 155 lbs. lbs
Brad Tavares vs. Robert Bryczek 185 lbs. lbs

Preliminary Card

Fares Ziam vs. Kaue Fernandes 155 lbs. lbs
Ante Delija vs. Marcin Tybura 245 lbs. lbs
Modestas Bukauskas vs. Paul Craig 205 lbs. lbs
Brendson Ribeiro vs. Oumar Sy 205 lbs. lbs
Losene Keita vs. Patricio Freire 155 lbs. lbs
Rhys McKee vs. Axel Sola 170 lbs. lbs
Sam Patterson vs. Trey Waters 170 lbs. lbs
Sam Hughes vs. Shauna Bannon 115 lbs. lbs
Robert Ruchala vs. William Gomis 145 lbs. lbs

Main Event

Caio Borralho

Record: 17-1-0

Height: 6' 1"

Reach: 75.0"

Stance: Southpaw

Strikes Landed/Min: 3.61

Takedown Avg: 1.56

Nassourdine Imavov

Record: 16-4-0

Height: 6' 3"

Reach: 75.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 4.45

Takedown Avg: 0.85

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

No bet: Nassourdine Imavov (prob: 0.4819) vs Caio Borralho (prob: 0.5181) - below confidence threshold 0.6

Probability: Caio Borralho: 48.2% vs Nassourdine Imavov: 51.8%

Logistic Regression:

Predicted Winner: Caio Borralho

Probability: Caio Borralho: 8.1% vs Nassourdine Imavov: 91.9%

Bet Size: 23.9%

Caio Borralho and Nassourdine Imavov have similar physical attributes, both with a reach of 75", though Imavov has a slight height advantage. Borralho's southpaw stance, coupled with a higher takedown average (1.56 vs. 0.85), suggests a ground-focused strategy. Conversely, Imavov's orthodox stance and superior strike rate (4.45/min vs. 3.61/min) suggest a standup fight preference. The Random Forest model predicts a close matchup, with Borralho slightly edging out at 51.8%, largely due to his grappling. However, the Logistic Regression heavily favors Imavov (91.9%), likely due to his superior striking. Their contrasting styles could lead to an intriguing striker versus grappler contest. Borralho will aim to close the distance and execute takedowns, while Imavov will look to maintain range and capitalize on his striking advantage. The models' contrasting predictions highlight the unpredictability of this matchup. Both fighters' strategies and ability to impose their game plan will be key determinants in the outcome of this bout.

Co-Main Event

Andreas Gustafsson

Record: 12-2-0

Height: 6' 1"

Reach: 73.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 5.83

Takedown Avg: 6.43

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Record: 23-1-1

Height: 6' 0"

Reach: 74.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 4.78

Takedown Avg: 3.95

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

No bet: Andreas Gustafsson (prob: 0.4661) vs Rinat Fakhretdinov (prob: 0.5339) - below confidence threshold 0.6

Probability: Andreas Gustafsson: 46.6% vs Rinat Fakhretdinov: 53.4%

Logistic Regression:

Predicted Winner: Rinat Fakhretdinov

Probability: Andreas Gustafsson: 9.9% vs Rinat Fakhretdinov: 90.1%

Bet Size: 23.9%

Andreas Gustafsson and Rinat Fakhretdinov are evenly matched, as evident from their orthodox stances and similar heights. Gustafsson's higher strikes landed per minute (5.83) and takedown average (6.43) suggest a more aggressive style but Fakhretdinov's superior record (23-1-1) and longer reach (74.0") hint at a strategic game, possibly counter-attacks. The Random Forest model reflects this balance with a near-even split, deeming it below confidence threshold for a definitive prediction. However, the Logistic Regression model leans heavily towards Fakhretdinov (90.1%), considering his impressive win-loss ratio. Style-wise, Gustafsson's higher takedown average could pressure Fakhretdinov, but Fakhretdinov's longer reach could keep Gustafsson at bay. A crucial factor would be Gustafsson's ability to close the distance without taking significant damage, and Fakhretdinov's knack for exploiting his reach. Both possess unique strengths, making this a captivating clash of styles.

Fight 3

Benoit Saint Denis

Record: 14-3-0

Height: 5' 11"

Reach: 73.0"

Stance: Southpaw

Strikes Landed/Min: 5.39

Takedown Avg: 4.19

Mauricio Ruffy

Record: 12-1-0

Height: 5' 11"

Reach: 75.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 4.54

Takedown Avg: 0.00

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

Predicted Winner: Benoit Saint Denis

Probability: Benoit Saint Denis: 60.1% vs Mauricio Ruffy: 39.9%

Bet Size: 10.9%

Logistic Regression:

No bet: Benoit Saint Denis (prob: 0.5391) vs Mauricio Ruffy (prob: 0.4609) - below confidence threshold 0.6

Probability: Benoit Saint Denis: 53.9% vs Mauricio Ruffy: 46.1%

Benoit Saint Denis and Mauricio Ruffy both stand at 5'11", but Ruffy has a 2" reach advantage. However, Saint Denis' southpaw stance could neutralize Ruffy's reach advantage, especially considering Ruffy's orthodox style. Statistically, Saint Denis lands more punches per minute (5.39 vs 4.54) which suggests a more aggressive, high-paced style. Ruffy, despite his impressive record, has a takedown average of 0.00, indicating a preference for stand-up fighting. Saint Denis, with a takedown average of 4.19, seems more well-rounded, demonstrating proficiency in both striking and grappling. The Random Forest model predicts a Saint Denis victory (60.1% probability), likely factoring his versatile style and higher strike rate. However, the Logistic Regression model suggests the fight is almost evenly matched, with a slight edge to Saint Denis (53.9%), and below the confidence threshold for a bet. Saint Denis' grappling could counter Ruffy's stand-up style, but Ruffy's reach and potential power could pose problems. This analytical assessment anticipates a tightly contested match.

Fight 4

Bolaji Oki

Record: 10-2-0

Height: 5' 10"

Reach: 73.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 7.05

Takedown Avg: 1.24

Mason Jones

Record: 16-2-0

Height: 5' 10"

Reach: 74.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 5.56

Takedown Avg: 4.24

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

Predicted Winner: Mason Jones

Probability: Bolaji Oki: 32.9% vs Mason Jones: 67.1%

Bet Size: 3.8%

Logistic Regression:

Predicted Winner: Mason Jones

Probability: Bolaji Oki: 31.8% vs Mason Jones: 68.2%

Bet Size: 4.7%

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Bolaji Oki and Mason Jones share identical heights, but Jones has a slight advantage with a one-inch longer reach. Both fighters prefer an orthodox stance. Oki lands more strikes per minute (7.05 vs. 5.56), indicating better striking efficiency. However, Jones dominates in takedowns, averaging 4.24 versus Oki's 1.24, suggesting superior grappling and ground game. Jones's record (16-2-0) also surpasses Oki's (10-2-0), suggesting more experience. The statistical models - Random Forest and Logistic Regression - predict Jones as the winner with probabilities of 67.1% and 68.2% respectively, likely influenced by his grappling advantage and superior record. The bet size hovering around 4% suggests moderate confidence in these predictions. In terms of style interaction, Jones might use his grappling skills to neutralize Oki's striking prowess. His reach advantage could also help in exchanges. However, Oki's higher strike rate should not be underestimated, as it could potentially disrupt Jones's strategy.

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Fight 5

Brad Tavares

Record: 21-11-0

Height: 6' 1"

Reach: 74.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 3.42

Takedown Avg: 0.71

Robert Bryczek

Record: 17-6-0

Height: 6' 0"

Reach: 75.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 2.13

Takedown Avg: 0.00

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

Predicted Winner: Brad Tavares

Probability: Brad Tavares: 69.8% vs Robert Bryczek: 30.2%

Logistic Regression:

Predicted Winner: Brad Tavares

Probability: Brad Tavares: 76.7% vs Robert Bryczek: 23.3%

Bet Size: 5.9%

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In this match-up, Brad Tavares holds a statistical advantage over Robert Bryczek in terms of strikes landed per minute (3.42 vs 2.13) and takedown average (0.71 vs 0.00). Despite a slight reach disadvantage, his superior striking rate and ability to take the fight to the ground make him a formidable opponent. This is reflected in both Random Forest and Logistic Regression predictions, favoring Tavares at 69.8% and 76.7% respectively, based on these performance metrics. Tavares' orthodox stance aligns with Bryczek's, potentially neutralizing any stance-related edge. Bryczek, with his superior reach, will need to utilize it effectively to keep Tavares at bay, but his lack of takedowns could leave him vulnerable to Tavares' ground game. This fight could be dictated by Tavares' ability to close the distance and execute takedowns, while Bryczek will need to leverage his reach advantage and improve his ground defense to counter Tavares' strategy.

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Fight 6

Fares Ziam

Record: 17-4-0

Height: 6' 1"

Reach: 75.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 2.85

Takedown Avg: 1.62

Kaue Fernandes

Record: 10-2-0

Height: 5' 9"

Reach: 73.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 4.00

Takedown Avg: 1.30

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

Predicted Winner: Fares Ziam

Probability: Fares Ziam: 82.0% vs Kaue Fernandes: 18.0%

Bet Size: 4.1%

Logistic Regression:

Predicted Winner: Fares Ziam

Probability: Fares Ziam: 95.4% vs Kaue Fernandes: 4.6%

Bet Size: 23.4%

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Fares Ziam and Kaue Fernandes, both orthodox fighters, possess different strengths in their fight game. Ziam, with a record of 17-4-0, has a height and reach advantage (6'1" and 75.0"), which could aid in maintaining distance. He also has a higher takedown average (1.62), suggesting a more grappling-oriented approach. Conversely, Fernandes (10-2-0) lands more strikes per minute (4.00), indicating a more striking-focused style, despite a smaller reach (73.0"). However, his takedown rate is lower (1.30), which might affect his ground game. The predictions from the Random Forest and Logistic Regression models favor Ziam due to his superior reach, takedown average, and fight record. Notably, the Logistic Regression model gives Ziam a higher win probability (95.4%), leading to a larger suggested bet size (23.4%). In terms of style interaction, Ziam may use his reach to keep Fernandes at bay, focusing on takedowns, while Fernandes will likely try to close the distance to engage in striking exchanges.

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Fight 7

Ante Delija

Record: 17-3-0

Height: 6' 4"

Reach: None

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 0.00

Takedown Avg: 0.00

Marcin Tybura

Record: 27-9-0

Height: 6' 3"

Reach: 78.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 3.60

Takedown Avg: 1.39

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

Missing stats for Marcin Tybura vs Ante Delija. Ante Delija is DWCS-only

Logistic Regression:

Missing stats for Marcin Tybura vs Ante Delija. Ante Delija is DWCS-only

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In this UFC matchup, Marcin Tybura and Ante Delija have comparable records and heights, but notable disparities exist in other key metrics. Tybura's average 3.60 strikes landed/min outperforms Delija's 0.00, suggesting an aggressive, strike-focused style. His 78.0" reach, compared to Delija's undisclosed reach, could grant a significant advantage in striking range. Tybura's takedown average of 1.39 also hints at a ground game strategy. Delija, with no available strike or takedown averages, presents an analytical challenge. The model predictions underscore this issue, with Random Forest and Logistic Regression models unable to generate probabilities due to missing data. Delija's status as a DWCS-only fighter may limit available data, making predictions uncertain. Given Tybura's stats, we could expect him to employ a strike-heavy approach, utilizing his reach advantage, and mixing in takedowns to keep Delija off balance. Delija's strategy remains unclear due to limited data, but his orthodox stance aligns with Tybura's, potentially neutralizing stance-based advantages.

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Fight 8

Modestas Bukauskas

Record: 18-6-0

Height: 6' 3"

Reach: 78.0"

Stance: Switch

Strikes Landed/Min: 3.26

Takedown Avg: 0.31

Paul Craig

Record: 17-9-1

Height: 6' 3"

Reach: 76.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 2.54

Takedown Avg: 1.47

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

No bet: Modestas Bukauskas (prob: 0.5248) vs Paul Craig (prob: 0.4752) - below confidence threshold 0.6

Probability: Modestas Bukauskas: 52.5% vs Paul Craig: 47.5%

Logistic Regression:

Predicted Winner: Paul Craig

Probability: Modestas Bukauskas: 33.8% vs Paul Craig: 66.2%

Bet Size: 16.0%

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Modestas Bukauskas and Paul Craig are identical in height, but Bukauskas possesses a 2" reach advantage. Bukauskas' switch stance may also provide a strategic edge against Craig's orthodox stance. Statistically, Bukauskas lands more strikes per minute (3.26) compared to Craig (2.54), indicating his superior striking ability. However, Craig's takedown average (1.47) significantly surpasses Bukauskas's (0.31), suggesting a stronger grappling game. In terms of predictions, the Random Forest model suggests a near-even match, with a slight edge to Bukauskas, but below the confidence threshold for betting. The Logistic Regression model, conversely, leans towards Craig with a 66.2% probability. This disparity could be due to the models' different weightings of factors like striking and grappling. In terms of styles, Bukauskas's striking and reach advantage could serve him well in keeping Craig at bay. However, if Craig can close the distance, his superior grappling ability may give him the upper hand. The fight could hinge on Bukauskas's ability to maintain distance and Craig's success in executing takedowns.

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Fight 9

Brendson Ribeiro

Record: 17-8-0

Height: 6' 3"

Reach: 81.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 3.26

Takedown Avg: 0.99

Oumar Sy

Record: 11-1-0

Height: 6' 4"

Reach: 83.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 3.68

Takedown Avg: 2.22

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

Predicted Winner: Oumar Sy

Probability: Brendson Ribeiro: 61.4% vs Oumar Sy: 38.6%

Logistic Regression:

Predicted Winner: Oumar Sy

Probability: Brendson Ribeiro: 88.8% vs Oumar Sy: 11.2%

Bet Size: 12.8%

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Oumar Sy and Brendson Ribeiro share similar physical attributes, but Ribeiro's experience is apparent in his 17-8 record, compared to Sy's 11-1. Ribeiro's orthodox stance and 81.0" reach might be a disadvantage against Sy's longer 83.0" reach. Ribeiro lands fewer strikes per minute (3.26 vs 3.68), suggesting Sy is more aggressive. Sy's superior takedown average (2.22 vs 0.99) could disrupt Ribeiro's rhythm. The Random Forest model predicts a win for Sy, yet with lower confidence (38.6% vs 61.4%), suggesting a close match. The Logistic Regression model also favours Sy (11.2% vs 88.8%), indicating a significant bet size of 12.8%. Sy's aggressive striking and takedown superiority could overpower Ribeiro's experience and seemingly defensive style. However, Ribeiro's record implies resilience, potentially making this a tight contest. Thus, the fight's outcome may hinge on Sy's ability to exploit his reach advantage and Ribeiro's adaptability to counter Sy's aggression.

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Fight 10

Losene Keita

Record: 16-1-0

Height: None

Reach: None

Stance: None

Strikes Landed/Min: 0.00

Takedown Avg: 0.00

Patricio Freire

Record: 37-8-0

Height: 5' 6"

Reach: 67.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 2.68

Takedown Avg: 1.49

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

Missing stats for Patricio Freire vs Losene Keita. Both fighters are DWCS-only

Logistic Regression:

Missing stats for Patricio Freire vs Losene Keita. Both fighters are DWCS-only

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Analyzing the fighters' statistics, Patricio Freire holds a clear advantage. His record of 37-8-0 manifests experience and success. Standing 5'6" with a 67.0" reach, he's able to leverage his physical attributes effectively. An orthodox stance and 2.68 strikes landed/min reveal his striking prowess, while a 1.49 takedown average showcases his grappling skills. Conversely, Losene Keita's data is absent, making technical comparison challenging. The model predictions reflect this data scarcity; both Random Forest and Logistic Regression models omit probabilities due to missing stats. Hence, no betting advice is provided. Freire's known orthodox, striking-oriented style might dominate, given Keita's unknown capabilities. However, Keita's single loss implies potential strength. His approach against Freire's strategy remains speculative. Ultimately, Freire's proven skills contrast Keita's unknown profile, making prediction models and technical analysis uncertain. It underscores the importance of comprehensive fighter data in UFC analysis.

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Fight 11

Rhys McKee

Record: 0-0-0

Height:

Reach:

Stance:

Strikes Landed/Min: 0.0

Takedown Avg: 0.0

Axel Sola

Record: 0-0-0

Height:

Reach:

Stance:

Strikes Landed/Min: 0.0

Takedown Avg: 0.0

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

Missing stats for Rhys McKee vs Axel Sola. Axel Sola is DWCS-only

Logistic Regression:

Missing stats for Rhys McKee vs Axel Sola. Axel Sola is DWCS-only

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Given the lack of statistical data for both fighters, Rhys McKee and Axel Sola, a comprehensive comparison of their statistical advantages or disadvantages is not possible. Neither fighter has a record, and no data is available on their physical attributes, stance, or fight statistics like strikes landed per minute or takedown averages. The model predictions are in line with this data scarcity, with both Random Forest and Logistic Regression unable to provide probabilities due to missing stats. As such, no betting advice can be given. In the absence of specific data, a discussion on their potential style interaction is purely speculative. Both fighters being new to the UFC, their approach, style, and tactics will likely evolve from fight to fight. Therefore, future analyses will benefit from more data gathered from their upcoming fights. This initial lack of data underscores the importance of continual data collection in UFC fight analysis.

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Fight 12

Sam Patterson

Record: 13-2-1

Height: 6' 3"

Reach: 78.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 3.17

Takedown Avg: 1.61

Trey Waters

Record: 9-1-0

Height: 6' 5"

Reach: 77.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 6.43

Takedown Avg: 0.44

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

No bet: Sam Patterson (prob: 0.5625) vs Trey Waters (prob: 0.4375) - below confidence threshold 0.6

Probability: Sam Patterson: 56.2% vs Trey Waters: 43.8%

Logistic Regression:

Predicted Winner: Trey Waters

Probability: Sam Patterson: 13.5% vs Trey Waters: 86.5%

Bet Size: 23.0%

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Analyzing the fight between Sam Patterson and Trey Waters, both fighters have unique advantages and disadvantages. Patterson, with his 13-2-1 record, has more experience and a higher takedown average (1.61) compared to Waters. His reach advantage (78.0") may also aid in striking or grappling. Waters, however, lands more strikes per minute (6.43), a key factor in scoring. Despite his lower takedown average (0.44), his height (6' 5") could provide leverage. Both fighters have orthodox stances, potentially leading to a mirrored matchup. The Random Forest model prediction is uncertain, with probabilities below the 0.6 confidence threshold. Conversely, the Logistic Regression model heavily favors Waters (86.5%), suggesting his strike rate may significantly influence the fight's outcome. Both fighters' styles, when considered with these statistics, indicate a match possibly dominated by stand-up exchanges, given Waters' striking and Patterson's reach. However, Patterson's takedown ability could disrupt this pattern, introducing ground game dynamics.

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Fight 13

Sam Hughes

Record: 10-6-0

Height: 5' 5"

Reach: 64.0"

Stance: Orthodox

Strikes Landed/Min: 4.41

Takedown Avg: 1.08

Shauna Bannon

Record: 7-1-0

Height: 5' 5"

Reach: 65.0"

Stance: Switch

Strikes Landed/Min: 4.77

Takedown Avg: 0.00

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

No bet: Shauna Bannon (prob: 0.4613) vs Sam Hughes (prob: 0.5387) - below confidence threshold 0.6

Probability: Sam Hughes: 46.1% vs Shauna Bannon: 53.9%

Logistic Regression:

No bet: Shauna Bannon (prob: 0.4031) vs Sam Hughes (prob: 0.5969) - below confidence threshold 0.6

Probability: Sam Hughes: 40.3% vs Shauna Bannon: 59.7%

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Analyzing Sam Hughes and Shauna Bannon, they share the same height but Bannon has a slight 1" reach advantage, potentially favoring her in striking exchanges. Hughes' orthodox stance contrasts Bannon's switch stance, which could lead to intriguing exchanges as they navigate each other's angles. Statistically, Bannon lands more strikes per minute (4.77 vs 4.41) but lacks a takedown average, suggesting a predominantly stand-up style. Hughes, with a takedown average of 1.08, might look to exploit this and take the fight to the ground. Model predictions are inconclusive, with both probabilities below the 0.6 confidence threshold, hinting at a closely matched fight. Hughes is slightly favored by both models, perhaps reflecting her more diverse skill set, but the difference is marginal. The fight may hinge on Hughes' ability to blend striking with takedowns against Bannon's striking-focused approach.

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Fight 14

Robert Ruchala

Record: 11-1-0

Height: None

Reach: None

Stance: None

Strikes Landed/Min: 0.00

Takedown Avg: 0.00

William Gomis

Record: 14-3-0

Height: 6' 0"

Reach: 73.0"

Stance: Southpaw

Strikes Landed/Min: 3.53

Takedown Avg: 0.62

Model Predictions

Random Forest:

Missing stats for William Gomis vs Robert Ruchala. Robert Ruchala is DWCS-only

Logistic Regression:

Missing stats for William Gomis vs Robert Ruchala. Robert Ruchala is DWCS-only

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Analyzing the statistics, William Gomis holds significant advantages over Robert Ruchala. Gomis' strike rate of 3.53 per minute and takedown average of 0.62 outperforms Ruchala's lack of recorded statistics. This advantage may result in Gomis controlling the pace and dictating the fight. Moreover, Gomis' southpaw stance could pose a challenge to Ruchala, who has no listed stance. The missing data for Ruchala complicates predictions, explaining both models' inability to assign probabilities. However, Gomis' superior record and his ability to land strikes frequently suggest a dominant performance. Nevertheless, Ruchala's 11-1-0 record shouldn't be discounted. The interaction of their styles remains unknown due to insufficient data on Ruchala. However, Gomis' reach advantage and striking ability could potentially overwhelm Ruchala. More data is needed for a comprehensive analysis.

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Generated on August 29, 2025 at 10:23 AM