Fight Details
#1 Aljamain Sterling vs Youssef Zalal
(Featherweight)
Model prediction:
latest
—
No prediction
: Below confidence threshold (60%).
Bet recommendation:
No bet recommendation.
Aljamain Sterling
Record: 25-5-0
Height: 5' 7"
Reach: 71"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 4.45
TD Avg: 2.45
Str Acc: 52%
Str Def: 59%
Youssef Zalal
Record: 18-5-1
Height: 5' 10"
Reach: 72"
Stance: Switch
SLpM: 3.03
TD Avg: 2.17
Str Acc: 50%
Str Def: 66%
#2 Norma Dumont vs Joselyne Edwards
(Women's Bantamweight)
Model prediction:
latest
—
No prediction
: Below confidence threshold (60%).
Bet recommendation:
Joselyne Edwards
(+147)
— Stake $1.49
Norma Dumont
Record: 13-2-0
Height: 5' 7"
Reach: 67"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 3.89
TD Avg: 1.56
Str Acc: 50%
Str Def: 65%
Joselyne Edwards
Record: 17-6-0
Height: 5' 8"
Reach: 70"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 4.61
TD Avg: 1.43
Str Acc: 53%
Str Def: 50%
#3 Rafa Garcia vs Alexander Hernandez
(Lightweight)
Model prediction:
latest
—
No prediction
: Below confidence threshold (60%).
Bet recommendation:
Rafa Garcia
(+142)
— Stake $4.27
Rafa Garcia
Record: 18-4-0
Height: 5' 7"
Reach: 70"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 4.31
TD Avg: 3.13
Str Acc: 45%
Str Def: 61%
Alexander Hernandez
Record: 18-8-0
Height: 5' 9"
Reach: 72"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 4.31
TD Avg: 1.14
Str Acc: 40%
Str Def: 59%
#4 Davey Grant vs Juan Adrian Martinetti
(Bantamweight)
Model prediction:
latest
—
No prediction
: Missing odds for this fight.
Bet recommendation:
No bet recommendation.
Davey Grant
Record: 17-8-0
Height: 5' 8"
Reach: 69"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 5.14
TD Avg: 1.03
Str Acc: 44%
Str Def: 55%
Juan Adrian Martinetti
Record: 17-1-0
Height: 5' 8"
Reach: 71"
Stance: n/a
SLpM: 11.00
TD Avg: 3.00
Str Acc: 65%
Str Def: 48%
#5 Montel Jackson vs Raoni Barcelos
(Bantamweight)
Model prediction:
latest
—
Prediction: Montel Jackson
(60.9%)
Bet recommendation:
Montel Jackson
(-147)
— Stake $2.75
Montel Jackson
Record: 15-3-0
Height: 5' 10"
Reach: 75"
Stance: Southpaw
SLpM: 3.09
TD Avg: 3.00
Str Acc: 52%
Str Def: 61%
Raoni Barcelos
Record: 21-5-0
Height: 5' 7"
Reach: 67"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 4.92
TD Avg: 2.22
Str Acc: 51%
Str Def: 61%
#6 Marcus Buchecha vs Ryan Spann
(Heavyweight)
Model prediction:
latest
—
No prediction
: Missing odds for this fight.
Bet recommendation:
No bet recommendation.
Marcus Buchecha
Record: 5-2-1
Height: 6' 2"
Reach: 77"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 1.70
TD Avg: 2.00
Str Acc: 49%
Str Def: 51%
Ryan Spann
Record: 23-11-0
Height: 6' 5"
Reach: 79"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 3.19
TD Avg: 1.30
Str Acc: 39%
Str Def: 43%
#7 Rodolfo Vieira vs Eric McConico
(Middleweight)
Model prediction:
latest
—
Prediction: Rodolfo Vieira
(76.8%)
Bet recommendation:
Rodolfo Vieira
(-245)
— Stake $3.92
Rodolfo Vieira
Record: 11-4-0
Height: 6' 0"
Reach: 73"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 3.55
TD Avg: 2.70
Str Acc: 53%
Str Def: 49%
Eric McConico
Record: 10-4-1
Height: 6' 0"
Reach: 77"
Stance: Southpaw
SLpM: 2.61
TD Avg: 0.00
Str Acc: 43%
Str Def: 46%
#8 Jackson McVey vs Sedriques Dumas
(Middleweight)
Model prediction:
latest
—
Prediction: Jackson McVey
(69.7%)
Bet recommendation:
Jackson McVey
(-195)
— Stake $3.72
Jackson McVey
Record: 6-2-0
Height: 6' 4"
Reach: 77"
Stance: Southpaw
SLpM: 5.87
TD Avg: 0.00
Str Acc: 68%
Str Def: 23%
Sedriques Dumas
Record: 10-4-0
Height: 6' 2"
Reach: 79"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 2.00
TD Avg: 1.34
Str Acc: 44%
Str Def: 55%
#9 Mayra Bueno Silva vs Michelle Montague
(Women's Bantamweight)
Model prediction:
latest
—
Prediction: Michelle Montague
(71.9%)
Bet recommendation:
Mayra Bueno Silva
(+285)
— Stake $2.06
Mayra Bueno Silva
Record: 10-6-1
Height: 5' 6"
Reach: 66"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 3.71
TD Avg: 0.51
Str Acc: 56%
Str Def: 51%
Michelle Montague
Record: 7-0-0
Height: 5' 9"
Reach: 68"
Stance: Southpaw
SLpM: 2.73
TD Avg: 5.00
Str Acc: 46%
Str Def: 41%
#10 Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha
(Flyweight)
Model prediction:
latest
—
Prediction: Jafel Filho
(75.3%)
Bet recommendation:
Jafel Filho
(-290)
— Stake $2.43
Jafel Filho
Record: 17-4-0
Height: 5' 7"
Reach: 68"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 1.85
TD Avg: 2.52
Str Acc: 41%
Str Def: 50%
Lucas Rocha
Record: 18-2-0
Height: 5' 3"
Reach: 64"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 5.09
TD Avg: 1.64
Str Acc: 49%
Str Def: 56%
#11 Talita Alencar vs Julia Polastri
(Women's Strawweight)
Model prediction:
latest
—
No prediction
: Below confidence threshold (60%).
Bet recommendation:
Talita Alencar
(+210)
— Stake $3.31
Talita Alencar
Record: 7-1-1
Height: 5' 1"
Reach: 58"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 2.91
TD Avg: 3.02
Str Acc: 37%
Str Def: 55%
Julia Polastri
Record: 14-5-0
Height: 5' 2"
Reach: 64"
Stance: Orthodox
SLpM: 6.40
TD Avg: 0.73
Str Acc: 54%
Str Def: 57%
Event Statistics
Fighting Styles
- 6 strikers
- 10 grapplers
- 6 well-rounded fighters
Card Profile
- Average listed SLpM across card: 4.11
- Recent-fight pace proxy (Sig Strikes/min): 11.93 (about 68th percentile vs recent cards)
- Average takedown attempts pace proxy (TD Avg): 1.90
Notable Records
- Current champions: None
- Former champions: Raquel Pennington, Sean O'Malley, Aljamain Sterling, Chris Holdsworth
- Bonus leaders (top 5): Davey Grant (7 bonuses), Alexander Hernandez (5 bonuses), Mayra Bueno Silva (5 bonuses), Rodolfo Vieira (5 bonuses), Ryan Spann (5 bonuses)
- Rivalries: No previous matchups
Standout Fighters
- Most accurate striker: Jackson McVey (68% accuracy)
- Best striking defense: Youssef Zalal (66% defense)
- Highest striking volume: Juan Adrian Martinetti (11.0 SLpM)
- Strongest takedown pace: Michelle Montague (5.0 TD avg)
- Most experienced in field: Ryan Spann (34 recorded fights)
Model-Relevant Matchup Edges
- Win-rate gap: Juan Adrian Martinetti by 26 pts (Davey Grant vs Juan Adrian Martinetti)
- Reach edge: Montel Jackson +8" vs opponent (Montel Jackson vs Raoni Barcelos)
- Reach edge: Eric McConico +4" vs opponent (Rodolfo Vieira vs Eric McConico)
- Win-rate gap: Michelle Montague by 41 pts (Mayra Bueno Silva vs Michelle Montague)
- Reach edge: Jafel Filho +4" vs opponent (Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha)
- Reach edge: Julia Polastri +6" vs opponent (Talita Alencar vs Julia Polastri)
Volatility Flags
- High-finisher matchup: Rodolfo Vieira vs Eric McConico (combined finish rate 68%)
- High-finisher matchup: Jackson McVey vs Sedriques Dumas (combined finish rate 81%)
- High-finisher matchup: Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha (combined finish rate 75%)
Recent Form Momentum
- Hot streaks (last 3): Youssef Zalal, Raoni Barcelos, Norma Dumont
- Skid watch (last 3): Mayra Bueno Silva, Jackson McVey
Market vs Model Tension
- Rafa Garcia vs Alexander Hernandez: model-market gap 10.1 pts
- Talita Alencar vs Julia Polastri: model-market gap 9.5 pts
- Rodolfo Vieira vs Eric McConico: model-market gap 8.4 pts
- Jackson McVey vs Sedriques Dumas: model-market gap 6.1 pts
AI Summary
AI summary is in progress. Run python -m sportsbetting_bot summary generate to refresh it.